Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 21

Feb 18, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Borussia-Park

Borussia M'bach
3 - 2
Bayern

Stindl (13'), Hofmann (55'), Thuram (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Maxim Choupo-Moting (35'), Tel (90+3')
Goretzka (37'), Nagelsmann (79+79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 4-1 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, February 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: PSG 0-1 Bayern
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-3 Bayern Munich

Gladbach have provided Bayern with some stern tests in recent seasons, but they are lacking form and momentum ahead of facing them at Borussia Park on Saturday. While we expect the likes of Jonas Hofmann and Thuram to cause significant problems in transition and potentially score against their former teammate Sommer, the Bavarians should have enough firepower going the other way to return to Munich with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.26%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 14.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.08%) and 1-3 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 2-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	Bayern Munich
14.22% ( 0.02)	16.52% ( 0.01)	69.26% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 62.74% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.27% (

-0.02)

27.73% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.59% (

-0.03)

48.41% (

0.02)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.67% (

0.01)

32.32% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.17% (

0.01)

68.83% (

-0.01)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.71% (

-0.01)

7.29% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.63% (

-0.03)

26.37% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Borussia Monchengladbach 14.22%

Bayern Munich 69.26%

Draw 16.52%

Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 2.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 14.22%	1-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.36% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.35% Total : 16.52%	1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.08% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.97% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.05% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0) 1-4 @ 5.22% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.62% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.5% 2-4 @ 2.95% ( -0) 1-5 @ 2.73% ( -0) 0-5 @ 2.42% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.54% ( -0) 1-6 @ 1.19% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.11% 0-6 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 3.54% Total : 69.26%