Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
We said: Freiburg 2-0 VfL Bochum
While Bochum will be hungry to bite back after their thumping at the hands of Bayern last week, we expect Freiburg to be too strong for their opponents.
Streich have the momentum and quality to challenge for the European places once again this season, whereas it would be a surprise if Bochum are not embroiled in a relegation battle.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 48.94% . A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.02%) . The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result Freiburg Draw VfL Bochum 48.94% ( 0.18) 22.83% ( -0.05) 28.22% ( -0.14)
Both teams to score 62% ( 0.06)
61.39% ( 0.12) 38.6% ( -0.12)
39.09% ( 0.13) 60.9% ( -0.13)
83.94% ( 0.11) 16.06% ( -0.11)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 54.57% ( 0.2) 45.42% ( -0.2)
73.86% ( -0.03) 26.14% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 38.78% ( -0.04) 61.21% ( 0.04)
Freiburg 48.94%
VfL Bochum 28.22%
Draw 22.83%
Freiburg Draw VfL Bochum 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.64% Total : 48.94% 1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.83% 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 28.22%
How you voted: Freiburg vs VfL Bochum
126
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-12 12:11:02
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