Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 7

Sep 18, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

Rhein-Neckar-Arena

Hoffenheim
0 - 0
Freiburg

Dabour (80')

Gunter (56'), Ginter (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

Last Six:

Last Game: Hoffenheim 4-1 Mainz 05
Saturday, September 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Bayern Munich	7	13	12
5	Hoffenheim	6	5	12
6	Borussia Monchengladbach	7	5	12

Freiburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Olympiacos 0-3 Freiburg
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Union Berlin	6	9	14
3	Freiburg	6	5	13
4	Bayern Munich	7	13	12

We said: Hoffenheim 1-1 Freiburg

Both teams head into this clash in excellent form of late, so it should be an interesting tactical battle between two sides playing with plenty of confidence. Neither side have leaked many goals lately, so we can envisage a low-scoring share of the spoils, which would almost certainly satisfy both coaches heading into the international break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Freiburg
46.01% ( -0.43)	23.75% ( 0.13)	30.24% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 60.1% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.29% (

-0.44)

41.71% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.89% (

-0.45)

64.11% (

0.45)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.63% (

-0.35)

18.37% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.51% (

-0.59)

49.49% (

0.59)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.62% (

-0.02)

26.37% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.47% (

-0.03)

61.52% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 46.01%

Freiburg 30.24%

Draw 23.75%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.56% Total : 46.01%	1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.75%	1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.24%