Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 15

Dec 11, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
4 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Gvardiol (21'), Silva (33'), Nkunku (90+1'), Henrichs (90+4')
Orban (59'), Gvardiol (81'), Simakan (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bensebaini (88')
Hutter (24'), Embolo (41'), Stindl (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

Neither side head into this encounter on a decent run of form, but due to Leipzig's strong showings at home despite their troubles, coupled with Gladbach's struggles on the road, we are predicting a home win. Goals are probably to be expected in an open game, but there would be no surprises to see the visitors try to tighten up following their thrashings in their past two matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.25%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 24.09% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
54.25%	21.66%	24.09%

Both teams to score 62.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.3%

36.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.14%

58.86%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.39%

13.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.25%

40.75%

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.87%

28.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.19%

63.81%

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 54.25%

Borussia Monchengladbach 24.09%

Draw 21.66%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 9.66% 1-0 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 7.62% 3-1 @ 6.42% 3-0 @ 5.06% 3-2 @ 4.07% 4-1 @ 3.2% 4-0 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 2.03% 5-1 @ 1.28% 5-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.75% Total : 54.25%	1-1 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 6.12% 0-0 @ 3.83% 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.66%	1-2 @ 6.14% 0-1 @ 4.86% 0-2 @ 3.08% 1-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.53% Total : 24.09%