Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
We said: Union Berlin 1-0 Borussia Monchengladbach
Gladbach's chances of gaining a positive result in Berlin are undoubtedly boosted by their opponents' involvement in Europe on Thursday, but we can envisage yet another narrow win for the hosts.
Farke's side struggled to create chances against Frankfurt last time out despite dominating possession, and it would be fair to assert that Union Berlin are a much tougher defensive unit to overcome.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 53.46% . A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 21.92% .
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.59%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%) , while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 0-1 (7.13%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result Union Berlin Draw Borussia Monchengladbach 53.46% ( 1.96) 24.62% ( -0.09) 21.92% ( -1.87)
Both teams to score 49.53% ( -1.93)
47.98% ( -1.45) 52.02% ( 1.45)
26.25% ( -1.27) 73.75% ( 1.26)
80.59% ( 0.22) 19.41% ( -0.22)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 48.77% ( 0.35) 51.23% ( -0.35)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
61.46% ( -2.57) 38.54% ( 2.57)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 24.71% ( -2.54) 75.28% ( 2.54)
Union Berlin 53.45%
Borussia Monchengladbach 21.92%
Draw 24.62%
Union Berlin Draw Borussia Monchengladbach 1-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.77) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.91% Total : 53.45% 1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.32) Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.62% 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.43) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.18) Other @ 1.51% Total : 21.92%
How you voted: Union Berlin vs Borussia M'bach
Union Berlin
Draw
Borussia Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach
8.1%
111
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-12 17:53:09
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