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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 2 | 15 |
2 | Union Berlin | 6 | 9 | 14 |
3 | Freiburg | 6 | 5 | 13 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Stuttgart | 7 | -3 | 5 |
17 | Wolfsburg | 6 | -5 | 5 |
18 | VfL Bochum | 6 | -14 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Wolfsburg |
51.47% ( 0.36) | 25.04% ( 0.09) | 23.48% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 50.12% ( -0.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.82% ( -0.75) | 52.18% ( 0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.11% ( -0.65) | 73.89% ( 0.65) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.73% ( -0.15) | 20.27% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.38% ( -0.24) | 52.62% ( 0.24) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.86% ( -0.83) | 37.13% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.08% ( -0.82) | 73.92% ( 0.83) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Wolfsburg |
1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.67% Total : 51.47% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.72% Total : 23.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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