Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 17

Dec 18, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

VfL Bochum
0 - 1
Union Berlin

Masovic (20'), Soares (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kruse (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: VfL Bochum 1-1 Union Berlin

Bochum are a proven force on home soil, and can end an excellent year with another valuable point at their Ruhrstadion headquarters. Die Unabsteigbaren have conceded just five goals in seven outings as hosts so far, which means Union's chances of scoring more than once are slim - surely resulting in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.

Result
VfL Bochum	Draw	Union Berlin
32.82%	25.16%	42.02%

Both teams to score 56.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.93%

47.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.68%

69.31%

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.63%

27.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.17%

62.83%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.66%

22.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.18%

55.82%

Score Analysis

VfL Bochum 32.82%

Union Berlin 42.02%

Draw 25.16%

VfL Bochum	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 7.92% 2-1 @ 7.69% 2-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.82%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.11% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.16%	0-1 @ 9.16% 1-2 @ 8.9% 0-2 @ 6.87% 1-3 @ 4.45% 0-3 @ 3.43% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.67% 0-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.02%