Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 5

Sep 3, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

VfL Bochum
0 - 2
Werder Bremen

Zoller (39'), Lambropoulos (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fullkrug (86', 90+2' pen.)
Weiser (33'), Pieper (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

Last Six:

Last Game: Freiburg 1-0 VfL Bochum
Friday, August 26 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Schalke 04	4	-7	2
17	Hertha Berlin	4	-4	1
18	VfL Bochum	4	-10	0

Werder Bremen

Last Six:

Last Game: Werder Bremen 3-4 Frankfurt
Sunday, August 28 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	RB Leipzig	4	1	5
10	Werder Bremen	4	0	5
11	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	-4	5

We said: VfL Bochum 1-3 Werder Bremen

As in previous Bremen games this season, we expected Saturday's contest to produce goals, which we think will result in Bremen maintaining their unbeaten away record this term with a victory over a struggling Bochum side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
VfL Bochum	Draw	Werder Bremen
27.4% ( 0.19)	23.77% ( 0.22)	48.82% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 58% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.41% (

-0.83)

43.58% (

0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.02% (

-0.82)

65.97% (

0.82)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.72% (

-0.29)

29.28% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.76% (

-0.36)

65.24% (

0.36)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.01% (

-0.48)

17.98% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.16% (

-0.82)

48.84% (

0.82)

Score Analysis

VfL Bochum 27.4%

Werder Bremen 48.82%

Draw 23.77%

VfL Bochum	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.34% Total : 27.4%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.77%	1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.63% Total : 48.82%