Something of an unknown quantity at continental level, Aris have invested wisely over the past few years and could be poised to make progress in Europe. While BATE have the advantage of being deep into their domestic season, the hosts' small but passionate support - and a smattering of quality players - should prove enough to secure a handy first-leg lead. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Aris Limassol had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Aris Limassol win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aris Limassol would win this match.

Result
Aris Limassol	Draw	BATE Borisov
35.53% ( 0.1)	27.15% ( 0.04)	37.31% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 50.4% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45% (

-0.18)

55% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.72% (

-0.15)

76.27% (

0.15)

Aris Limassol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.45% (

-0.03)

29.54% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.43% (

-0.03)

65.56% (

0.03)

BATE Borisov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.53% (

-0.17)

28.46% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.77% (

-0.22)

64.22% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Aris Limassol 35.53%

BATE Borisov 37.31%

Draw 27.15%

Aris Limassol	Draw	BATE Borisov
1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 35.53%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.15%	0-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.31%