Having kicked off the first leg as something of an unknown quantity at Champions League level, Aris have already showed they can make progress in this summer's qualifiers. BATE may have the advantage of being deep into their domestic season, but without the benefit of playing on home soil they will come up short on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Aris Limassol had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Aris Limassol win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
BATE Borisov	Draw	Aris Limassol
40.42% ( -0.1)	26.22% ( 0.06)	33.36% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 53.04% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.5% (

-0.22)

51.49% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.7% (

-0.19)

73.3% (

0.19)

BATE Borisov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.9% (

-0.15)

25.09% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.21% (

-0.21)

59.79% (

0.21)

Aris Limassol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.81% (

-0.08)

29.19% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.86% (

-0.1)

65.13% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

BATE Borisov 40.41%

Aris Limassol 33.36%

Draw 26.22%

BATE Borisov	Draw	Aris Limassol
1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 40.41%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.22%	0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.36%