Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 24, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
0 - 1
Real Sociedad

Bernat (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mendez (63')
Elustondo (71'), Merino (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Lusitania 1-4 Benfica
Friday, October 20 at 4.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-0 Mallorca
Saturday, October 21 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Benfica 2-1 Real Sociedad

With Benfica's situation in Group D almost precarious, the Portuguese giants should eke out a victory over Sociedad to close the gap on the current joint-leaders to one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 21.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Real Sociedad
53.85% ( -1.09)	24.4% ( 0.41)	21.75% ( 0.68)

Both teams to score 49.98% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.68% (

-0.89)

51.32% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.85% (

-0.79)

73.15% (

0.79)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.01% (

-0.75)

18.99% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.46% (

-1.26)

50.53% (

1.26)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.69% (

0.17)

38.31% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.93% (

0.16)

75.06% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Benfica 53.84%

Real Sociedad 21.75%

Draw 24.39%

Benfica	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.05% Total : 53.84%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.39%	0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.53% Total : 21.75%