Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 20, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
0 - 2
Salzburg

Trubin (2'), Silva (54'), Otamendi (69')
Silva (13')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Simic (15' pen.), Gluh (51')
Gourna-Douath (21'), Baidoo (58'), Simic (67'), Koita (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Last Game: Vizela 1-2 Benfica
Saturday, September 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions

Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-2 Salzburg
Saturday, September 16 at 6.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Goals
for

We said: Benfica 3-1 Red Bull Salzburg

Red Bull Salzburg do have the tools to cause any side problems, but we see a trip to the Estadio da Luz being a step too far and anticipate Benfica making their superior quality and experience count for a victory in their group curtain-raiser. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
52.2% ( -0.23)	23.04% ( -0)	24.76% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 57.96% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.52% (

0.23)

42.48% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.11% (

0.23)

64.89% (

-0.23)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.68% (

16.32% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.1% (

45.9% (

-0)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.27% (

0.32)

30.73% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.01% (

0.37)

66.99% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Benfica 52.2%

Red Bull Salzburg 24.76%

Draw 23.03%

Benfica	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 52.2%	1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.03%	1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.91% Total : 24.76%