Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 14, 2023 at 8.45pm UK

Estadio do Bessa Seculo XXI

Boavista
3 - 2
Benfica

Bozenik (55', 90+13'), Lourenco (90' pen.)
Reisinho (1'), Petit (2'), Makouta (11'), Perez (14'), Onyemaechi (67'), Silva Conceicao (90+8'), Bozenik (90+15')
Lourenco (90+11')

FT(HT: 0-1)

di Maria (22'), Silva (75')
di Maria (54'), Silva (65'), Bah (82'), Silva (88')
Musa (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boavista

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 0-0 Uniao de Leiria (4-5 pen.)
Monday, July 24 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Porto
Wednesday, August 9 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

Goals
for

Though they have been forced to make changes to a title-winning squad, Benfica still look strong enough to retain their status as Portugal's top dogs this year and they should start their Liga campaign with a win. Boavista lack a major goal threat and surely cannot defy their visitors' fearsome front line for a full 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 21.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Benfica
21.35% ( -0.79)	24.02% ( -0.04)	54.63% ( 0.84)

Both teams to score 50.57% (

-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.74% (

-0.69)

50.26% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.79% (

-0.61)

72.21% (

0.61)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.89% (

-1.17)

38.11% (

1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.13% (

-1.14)

74.87% (

1.14)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.71% (

0.06)

18.29% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.64% (

0.1)

49.36% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Boavista 21.35%

Benfica 54.62%

Draw 24.02%

Boavista	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.55% Total : 21.35%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.02%	0-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 10.05% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.7% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.31% Total : 54.62%