Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32

May 12, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
3 - 1
Boavista

Navarro (38', 64'), Costa (85' pen.)
Tiba (69'), Carraca (73'), Gomes (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Perez (55')
Ferreira (63'), Bracalli (64'), Perez (64'), Agra (69'), Bozenik (76'), Njie (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Last Game: Santa Clara 3-2 Gil Vicente
Saturday, May 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Boavista

All competitions

Last Game: Boavista 1-0 Estoril
Saturday, May 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Gil Vicente 0-1 Boavista

A closely-fought contest is set to be played out between the two teams on Friday, but Boavista will be regarded as the slight favourites despite their poor away record and they should have enough quality in the final third to edge past a struggling Gil Vicente side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Boavista
46.24% ( 0.04)	24.9% ( -0.03)	28.86% ( -0)

Both teams to score 55.29% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.36% (

0.13)

47.64% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.16% (

0.12)

69.84% (

-0.12)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.35% (

0.07)

20.65% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.77% (

0.11)

53.23% (

-0.11)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.68% (

0.07)

30.31% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.5% (

0.08)

66.49% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 46.24%

Boavista 28.86%

Draw 24.9%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Boavista
1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.24%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.9%	0-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 3.11% Total : 28.86%