Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boavista in this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Gil Vicente |
42.02% ( 0.7) | 25.65% ( -0.22) | 32.32% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 54.57% ( 0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.62% ( 0.79) | 49.38% ( -0.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.57% ( 0.71) | 71.42% ( -0.71) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.65% ( 0.7) | 23.34% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.7% ( 1) | 57.3% ( -1.01) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.18% ( 0.08) | 28.81% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.33% ( 0.09) | 64.66% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.04% Total : 42.02% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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