Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32

May 13, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Portimão

Portimonense
1 - 5
Benfica

Pedrao (38')
Pedrao (34'), Seck (74')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Grimaldo (4'), Relvas (28' og.), Ramos (45'), Musa (87', 89')
Chiquinho (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-1 Portimonense
Friday, May 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Braga
Saturday, May 6 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Portimonense 0-2 Benfica

Having put their slight blip behind them with three consecutive victories, and knowing two victories will certainly be enough to seal the title, we cannot envisage Benfica being derailed on Saturday and instead anticipate them triumphing in relatively comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 75.18%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 9.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.38%) and 0-3 (10.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Benfica
9.08% ( 0)	15.74% ( 0)	75.18% ( -0)

Both teams to score 46.84% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.06% (

0.01)

38.94% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.74% (

0.01)

61.26% (

-0)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.34% (

0.01)

48.65% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.29% (

0.01)

83.7% (

-0.01)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.23% (

8.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.89% (

30.1%

Score Analysis

Portimonense 9.08%

Benfica 75.17%

Draw 15.74%

Portimonense	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 3.07% 2-1 @ 2.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 9.08%	1-1 @ 7.48% 0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 15.74%	0-2 @ 12.63% 0-1 @ 10.38% 0-3 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.39% 0-4 @ 6.24% ( -0) 1-4 @ 4.5% 0-5 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0) 1-5 @ 2.19% 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0) 0-6 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.94% Total : 75.17%