Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Apr 7, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
1 - 2
Porto

Costa (10' og.)
Luis (14'), Gilberto (50'), Silva (83')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Uribe (45'), Taremi (54')
Uribe (23'), Otavio (45+6'), Grujic (50'), Manafa (52'), Taremi (88')

The Match

Match Report

Porto come from behind to beat Benfica 2-1 and keep the Primeira Liga title race alive by cutting the gap at the top to seven points.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 0-1 Benfica
Sunday, April 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 1-0 Portimonense
Sunday, April 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 51.93%. A win for Porto had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Porto
51.93% ( 0.35)	22.32% ( -0.11)	25.75% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 61.58% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.82% (

0.35)

38.18% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.55% (

0.37)

60.45% (

-0.36)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.13% (

0.24)

14.87% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.79% (

0.45)

43.21% (

-0.45)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.34% (

0.02)

27.66% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.79% (

0.02)

63.21% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Benfica 51.93%

Porto 25.75%

Draw 22.32%

Benfica	Draw	Porto
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.12% Total : 51.93%	1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.32%	1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.73% Total : 25.75%