Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Mar 4, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
1 - 3
Porto

Vitoria (53' pen.)
Pedro (28'), Langa (54'), Ponck (83'), Mendes (85'), Guimaraes (90+4'), Singh (90+8')
Jo (73'), Mendes (87')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Loader (15'), Otavio (43'), Martinez (90+6')
Eustaquio (8'), Marcano (27'), Loader (48'), Jo (57'), Grujic (84'), Sanusi (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Chaves
Sunday, February 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 1-2 Gil Vicente
Sunday, February 26 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Following last Sunday's disappointing defeat against Gil Vicente, Porto will head into the weekend looking to bounce back and keep their title dreams alive. Conceicao's men have enjoyed the better of this fixture, and given the gulf in quality between the two sides, we are backing them to come away with a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.31%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 12.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.73%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Porto
12.72% ( 0)	17.97% ( 0)	69.31% ( -0)

Both teams to score 52.19% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.12% (

-0.01)

38.88% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.81% (

-0)

61.19% (

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.08%

41.92% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.63% (

78.37% (

-0)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.86% (

-0)

10.14% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.65% (

-0.01)

33.35% (

Score Analysis

Chaves 12.72%

Porto 69.3%

Draw 17.97%

Chaves	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 3.7% 2-1 @ 3.68% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.22% 3-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.45% Total : 12.72%	1-1 @ 8.46% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.25% 2-2 @ 4.21% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.97%	0-2 @ 11.13% 0-1 @ 9.73% 1-2 @ 9.68% 0-3 @ 8.49% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.38% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.86% ( -0) 1-4 @ 4.22% 2-3 @ 3.21% 0-5 @ 2.22% 1-5 @ 1.93% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.84% Other @ 4.6% Total : 69.3%