Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Porto5 - 3Shakhtar
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Casa Pia
Saturday, December 9 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, December 9 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Shakhtar 2-0 Veres
Friday, December 8 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Friday, December 8 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
We said: Porto 2-1 Shakhtar Donetsk
For all of Shakhtar's recent defensive mastery, the Ukrainian side may abandon their principles on Wednesday given their overriding need for a first-ever win over Porto, who have always had the visitors' number down the years. It is not impossible to envisage Costa's goal being breached, but as Shakhtar commit bodies forward, Porto's attacking contingent can launch a couple of devastating counter-attacks to advance to the last 16 and force the visitors to accept a Europa League demotion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 3-1 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
63.03% ( -0.26) | 18.8% ( 0.03) | 18.17% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 63.26% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.91% ( 0.28) | 31.09% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.5% ( 0.33) | 52.49% ( -0.33) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.49% ( 0.02) | 9.5% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.13% ( 0.04) | 31.87% ( -0.04) |
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.9% ( 0.41) | 30.1% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.76% ( 0.49) | 66.23% ( -0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Porto 63.03%
Shakhtar Donetsk 18.17%
Draw 18.8%
Porto | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.39% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.07% 5-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.94% Total : 63.03% | 1-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.8% | 1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.59% Total : 18.17% |
How you voted: Porto vs Shakhtar
Porto
72.8%Draw
17.6%Shakhtar Donetsk
9.6%136
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Shakhtar
1-3
Porto
Dec 10, 2014 7.45pm
Group Stage
Porto
1-1
Shakhtar
Sep 30, 2014 7.45pm
Group Stage
Shakhtar
2-2
Porto
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-12 23:12:44
Friday, June 14
8pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Scotland
Saturday, June 15
2pm
Group Stage
Hungary
vs.
Switzerland
5pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Croatia
8pm
Group Stage
Italy
vs.
Albania
Sunday, June 16
2pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Netherlands
5pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Denmark
8pm
Group Stage
Serbia
vs.
England
Monday, June 17
2pm
Group Stage
Romania
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Group Stage
Austria
vs.
France
Tuesday, June 18
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Georgia
8pm
Group Stage
Portugal
vs.
Czech Republic
Wednesday, June 19
2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Albania
5pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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