Champions League

Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

May 4, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid
3 - 1
Man City

(Real Madrid win 6-5 on aggregate)

Rodrygo (90', 90+1'), Benzema (95' pen.)
Modric (9'), Carvajal (65'), Militao (84'), Valverde (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mahrez (73')
Laporte (9'), Sterling (101'), Zinchenko (113')

Salah: 'Everyone at Liverpool wanted Real Madrid in Champions League final'

Liverpool's Mohamed Salah admits that everybody at Liverpool wanted to play Real Madrid instead of Manchester City in the Champions League final.

May 5, 23:37

Real Madrid coach Carlo Ancelotti before the match on April 9, 2022

Pep Guardiola, Carlo Ancelotti, Karim Benzema set Champions League records in Real Madrid win

Pep Guardiola, Carlo Ancelotti and Karim Benzema all set Champions League records in Real Madrid's semi-final victory over Manchester City.

May 5, 09:40

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola looks dejected on May 4, 2022

Manchester City boss Pep Guardiola: 'We need time to process Real Madrid defeat'

Pep Guardiola admits that he and his Manchester City team will "need time to process" their 6-5 aggregate defeat to Real Madrid in the Champions League semi-finals.

May 4, 23:54

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League

Next Game: Real Madrid vs. Frankfurt
Wednesday, August 10 at 8pm in UEFA Super Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Real Madrid	38	49	86
2	Barcelona	38	30	73
3	Atletico Madrid	38	22	71

Manchester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Manchester City	38	73	93
2	Liverpool	38	68	92
3	Chelsea	38	43	74

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Manchester City
29.6%	21.35%	49.05%

Both teams to score 68.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.64%

30.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.38%

51.62%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.89%

21.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.06%

53.94%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.99%

13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.46%

39.53%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 29.6%

Manchester City 49.05%

Draw 21.35%

Real Madrid	Draw	Manchester City
2-1 @ 6.78% 1-0 @ 4.27% 3-2 @ 3.58% 3-1 @ 3.51% 2-0 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.39% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.6%	1-1 @ 8.71% 2-2 @ 6.91% 0-0 @ 2.75% 3-3 @ 2.44% Other @ 0.55% Total : 21.35%	1-2 @ 8.88% 1-3 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 5.71% 0-1 @ 5.6% 2-3 @ 4.7% 0-3 @ 3.88% 1-4 @ 3.08% 2-4 @ 2.4% 0-4 @ 1.98% 1-5 @ 1.26% 3-4 @ 1.24% 2-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.31% Total : 49.05%