Championship

Championship | Gameweek 23

Dec 18, 2021 at 3pm UK

Ewood Park

Blackburn
4 - 0
Birmingham

Buckley (6'), Khadra (52'), Brereton Diaz (60' pen., 79')
Buckley (41')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sunjic (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Birmingham City

Aside from Fulham, Blackburn would be regarded as favourites to beat any other team in the second tier right now, particularly at Ewood Park. With that in mind, we expect a comfortable afternoon for Rovers, who could also keep a clean sheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 48.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 25.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Birmingham City
48.24%	26.54%	25.21%

Both teams to score 47.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.55%

56.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.54%

77.46%

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.56%

23.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.55%

57.45%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.06%

37.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.29%

74.7%

Score Analysis

Blackburn Rovers 48.24%

Birmingham City 25.21%

Draw 26.54%

Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 12.9% 2-0 @ 9.36% 2-1 @ 9.07% 3-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-1 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.65% Total : 48.24%	1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.54%	0-1 @ 8.62% 1-2 @ 6.06% 0-2 @ 4.18% 1-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.42% 0-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.63% Total : 25.21%