Championship

Championship | Gameweek 17

Oct 23, 2022 at 12pm UK

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea
2 - 0
Cardiff

Cooper (38'), Obafemi (67')
Darling (50'), Obafemi (58'), Cundle (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Dowda (50'), Ralls (61'), Harris (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 3-2 Reading
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 3-0 Cardiff
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Cardiff City

Given the rivalry between these two sides, we expect a far more competitive encounter than the league positions suggest. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore the form of the Swans, who should have enough quality in the final third to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.06%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 23.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Cardiff City
51.06% ( 0.08)	25.4% ( -0.06)	23.54% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 49.14% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.49% (

0.21)

53.5% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.97% (

0.18)

75.02% (

-0.17)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.02% (

0.12)

20.97% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.26% (

0.19)

53.73% (

-0.19)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.18% (

0.1)

37.82% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.4% (

0.09)

74.59% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 51.05%

Cardiff City 23.54%

Draw 25.39%

Swansea City	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 12.38% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 51.05%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 23.54%