Chinese Super League | Gameweek 26

Sep 22, 2023 at 12.35pm UK

Changchun's People Stadium

Changchun
1 - 1
Beijing Guoan

Zulj (34')
Zhang (12'), Teng (17'), Mincheng (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Abreu (13')
Soares (13'), Wang (47'), Abreu (90'), Naibijiang (90+9')
Soares (0')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Beijing Guoan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Changchun Yatai

All competitions

Last Game: Shanghai Port 2-0 Changchun
Friday, September 15 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Beijing Guoan

All competitions

Last Game: Beijing Guoan 0-1 Zhejiang
Friday, September 15 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Changchun Yatai	Draw	Beijing Guoan
26.1% ( -0.7)	24.2% ( 0.13)	49.7% ( 0.57)

Both teams to score 55.45% (

-1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.56% (

-1.11)

46.44% (

1.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.28% (

-1.05)

68.72% (

1.05)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.23% (

-1.13)

31.77% (

1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.8% (

-1.32)

68.19% (

1.32)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.26% (

-0.2)

18.74% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.88% (

-0.34)

50.11% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Changchun Yatai 26.1%

Beijing Guoan 49.7%

Draw 24.19%

Changchun Yatai	Draw	Beijing Guoan
1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.71% Total : 26.1%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.19%	0-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 5.34% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.28% Total : 49.7%