Beijing Guoan

4 - 3

Changchun

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.