Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 18.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.43%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.

Result
Changchun Yatai	Draw	Wuhan Three Towns
18.68% ( 0.06)	24.44% ( 0.05)	56.88% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 45.41% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.96% (

-0.09)

55.04% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.7% (

-0.07)

76.3% (

0.07)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.23% (

0.02)

43.77% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.07% (

0.02)

79.93% (

-0.02)

Wuhan Three Towns Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.76% (

-0.08)

19.24% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.05% (

-0.13)

50.95% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Changchun Yatai 18.68%

Wuhan Three Towns 56.87%

Draw 24.43%

Changchun Yatai	Draw	Wuhan Three Towns
1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.73% Total : 18.68%	1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 24.43%	0-1 @ 13.87% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 11.43% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.28% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.19% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.77% Total : 56.87%