Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Shandong Taishan	Draw	Chengdu Qianbao
37.4% ( -0.59)	28.35% ( 0.07)	34.25% ( 0.53)

Both teams to score 46.68% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.41% (

-0.18)

59.58% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.08% (

-0.14)

79.92% (

0.14)

Shandong Taishan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.34% (

-0.45)

30.66% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.09% (

-0.54)

66.91% (

0.54)

Chengdu Qianbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.32% (

0.26)

32.68% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.77% (

0.29)

69.23% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Shandong Taishan 37.4%

Chengdu Qianbao 34.25%

Draw 28.33%

Shandong Taishan	Draw	Chengdu Qianbao
1-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.4%	1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.33%	0-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.25%