While Monterrey did concede their first loss of the season over the weekend, Ortiz notably rested a few key players for that match, likely with one eye on this crucial encounter. With Messi missing from the hosts' lineup and Monterrey back to full strength, we feel the visitors will have too much firepower for the Herons in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Monterrey in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Monterrey.

Result
Inter Miami	Draw	Monterrey
31.24% ( -4.15)	25.08% ( 0.49)	43.68% ( 3.65)

Both teams to score 56.05% (

-3.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.75% (

-3.39)

47.25% (

3.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.52% (

-3.23)

69.48% (

3.23)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.53% (

-4.15)

28.47% (

4.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.76% (

-5.53)

64.24% (

5.52)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.36% (

0.27)

21.64% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.24% (

0.42)

54.75% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Inter Miami 31.24%

Monterrey 43.68%

Draw 25.07%

Inter Miami	Draw	Monterrey
1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.65) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.69) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.51) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.47) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.37) Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.24%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.83) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.44) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.07%	0-1 @ 9.43% ( 1.34) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.38) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 1.08) 1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.58) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.23) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.46% Total : 43.68%