Even the great Messi can only do so much, and though we expect him to play, he and his veteran teammates appear to be fatigued with the demands of MLS and this tournament. Monterrey have plenty of attacking depth, and being a goal up should allow them to hang back and counter effectively against a side like Miami, who have been vulnerable on the back end and leave plenty of gaps in between their midfield and defence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 64.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 16.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
Monterrey	Draw	Inter Miami
64.1% ( -0.08)	19.63% ( 0.08)	16.28% ( -0)

Both teams to score 55.87% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.28% (

-0.38)

38.72% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.98% (

-0.4)

61.02% (

0.4)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.57% (

-0.13)

11.43% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.78% (

-0.29)

36.22% (

0.28)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.08% (

-0.24)

36.92% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.29% (

-0.24)

73.7% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Monterrey 64.1%

Inter Miami 16.28%

Draw 19.63%

Monterrey	Draw	Inter Miami
2-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.17% Total : 64.1%	1-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.63%	1-2 @ 4.54% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 16.28%