Copa del Rey | Round of 16

Jan 17, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
0 - 1
Sevilla

Jason (34')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rakitic (48')
Rekik (24'), Gudelj (31'), Acuna (34'), Bade (64')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa del Rey Round of 16 clash between Alaves and Sevilla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Real Oviedo 1-0 Alaves
Friday, January 13 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Girona 2-1 Sevilla
Saturday, January 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Sevilla
29.78% ( -0.11)	27.85% ( 0.25)	42.37% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 46.84% (

-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.2% (

-0.91)

58.8% (

0.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.68% (

-0.71)

79.32% (

0.71)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.53% (

-0.56)

35.47% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.77% (

-0.59)

72.23% (

0.59)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.57% (

-0.5)

27.43% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.09% (

-0.65)

62.91% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

Alaves 29.77%

Sevilla 42.37%

Draw 27.85%

Alaves	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.05% Total : 29.77%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.85%	0-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.86% Total : 42.37%