La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 27

Mar 4, 2022 at 8pm UK

Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country

Alaves
0 - 0
Sevilla

Lejeune (34'), Duarte (49'), Pons (62')

Jordan (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

Last Six:

Last Game: Levante 3-1 Alaves
Sunday, May 15 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Next Game: Alaves vs. Cadiz
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Mallorca	37	-29	36
19	Levante	38	-28	32
20	Alaves	37	-33	31

Sevilla

Last Six:

Last Game: Atletico 1-1 Sevilla
Sunday, May 15 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Next Game: Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Atletico Madrid	37	21	68
4	Sevilla	37	22	67
5	Real Betis	38	22	65

It is results and not performances that are most important at this stage of the campaign, and this is a huge fixture for both sides in the context of their seasons. We are expecting a tight and cagey affair on Friday evening but believe that Sevilla's extra quality will allow them to secure a vital three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 55.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 18.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.08%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Sevilla
18.28%	26.49%	55.23%

Both teams to score 39.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.68%

62.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.03%

81.97%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.45%

48.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.37%

83.63%

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.14%

22.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.4%

56.59%

Score Analysis

Alaves 18.28%

Sevilla 55.21%

Draw 26.48%

Alaves	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 8.02% 2-1 @ 4.28% 2-0 @ 2.9% 3-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.28%	1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 11.09% 2-2 @ 3.16% Other @ 0.4% Total : 26.48%	0-1 @ 16.37% 0-2 @ 12.08% 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-3 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 4.3% 0-4 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.46% Total : 55.21%