La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 38

May 22, 2022 at 9pm UK

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sevilla
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Mir (68')
Jordan (25'), Acuna (76'), Papu (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia (38'), Berchiche (57'), Vivian (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

Last Six:

Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Atletico Madrid	38	22	71
4	Sevilla	38	23	70
5	Real Betis	38	22	65

Athletic Bilbao

Last Six:

Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Villarreal	38	26	59
8	Athletic Bilbao	38	7	55
9	Valencia	38	-5	48

We said: Sevilla 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

After multiple draws in a row, Sevilla have fallen into a pattern at the end of the season, which they do not need to get out of to secure fourth spot. Bilbao are arguably more in need of a win, but being away from home may count against them this weekend, especially considering Sevilla's strong home record. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 17.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
57.72% ( -0.37)	24.32% ( 0.38)	17.95% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 44.55% (

-1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.46% (

-1.4)

55.53% (

1.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.29% (

-1.15)

76.71% (

1.15)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.89% (

-0.66)

19.11% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.26% (

-1.11)

50.73% (

1.11)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.07% (

-0.84)

44.92% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.13% (

-0.68)

80.87% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 57.71%

Athletic Bilbao 17.95%

Draw 24.31%

Sevilla	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 14.2% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.77% Total : 57.71%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.31%	0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.57% Total : 17.95%