La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 32

Apr 17, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

San Mames

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 2
Celta Vigo

Petxarroman (41'), Muniain (62')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Aspas (11'), Beltran (37')
Vazquez (51'), Tapia (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

Last Six:

Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Villarreal	38	26	59
8	Athletic Bilbao	38	7	55
9	Valencia	38	-5	48

Celta Vigo

Last Six:

Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, May 21 at 4.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Osasuna	38	-14	47
11	Celta Vigo	38	0	46
12	Rayo Vallecano	38	-11	42

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Celta Vigo

Athletic are unbeaten at home in the league since the end of December, winning four of their last five matches in front of their own supporters, and we are expecting the Basque outfit to secure another three points this weekend at the expense of an out-of-form Celta side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 51.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Celta Vigo
51.36%	25.32%	23.31%

Both teams to score 49.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.59%

53.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.06%

74.94%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.19%

20.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.53%

53.46%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.02%

37.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.25%

74.74%

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 51.36%

Celta Vigo 23.31%

Draw 25.32%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.4% 2-0 @ 9.74% 2-1 @ 9.43% 3-0 @ 5.1% 3-1 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.5% Total : 51.36%	1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 7.65% 1-2 @ 5.81% 0-2 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.6% Total : 23.31%