La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 38

May 21, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

Mestalla

Valencia
2 - 0
Celta Vigo

Gomez (28'), Araujo (60' og.)
Foulquier (64'), Correia (64'), Moriba (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Galan (45+1'), Mendez (52'), Galhardo (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

Last Six:

Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, May 21 at 4.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Athletic Bilbao	38	7	55
9	Valencia	38	-5	48
10	Osasuna	38	-14	47

Celta Vigo

Last Six:

Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, May 21 at 4.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Osasuna	38	-14	47
11	Celta Vigo	38	0	46
12	Rayo Vallecano	38	-11	42

We said: Valencia 1-1 Celta Vigo

Both sides will be determined to finish their campaign on a positive note, but we are struggling to back either with any real confidence at the moment. Valencia have drawn eight times on home soil this term, and we are predicting another stalemate in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Celta Vigo
35.9% ( 0.07)	26.37% ( 0.02)	37.72% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 52.95% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.2% (

-0.1)

51.8% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.44% (

-0.08)

73.56% (

0.08)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.23% (

-0)

27.76% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.66% (

-0)

63.34% (

0.01)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.29% (

-0.1)

26.7% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.04% (

-0.13)

61.96% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Valencia 35.9%

Celta Vigo 37.72%

Draw 26.37%

Valencia	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 35.9%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.72%