La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 36

May 10, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Camp Nou

Barcelona
3 - 1
Celta Vigo

Depay (30'), Aubameyang (41', 48')
Garcia (80'), de Jong (90+10'), Alba (90+12')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Aspas (50')
Murillo (58')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

Last Six:

Last Game: A-League All Stars 2-3 Barcelona
Wednesday, May 25 at 11.05am in Pre-Season Friendlies

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Real Madrid	38	49	86
2	Barcelona	38	30	73
3	Atletico Madrid	38	22	71

Celta Vigo

Last Six:

Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, May 21 at 4.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Osasuna	38	-14	47
11	Celta Vigo	38	0	46
12	Rayo Vallecano	38	-11	42

We said: Barcelona 2-1 Celta Vigo

Always posing a threat going forward with Aspas leading the charge, Celta Vigo have been a bit of a bogey team for Barcelona in the past and will aim to take advantage of the Busquets-less Blaugrana midfield. Xavi will not want to see his side let their energy levels drop despite sealing Champions League qualification, though, and the wealth of the hosts' attacking options leads us to back a narrow win for the Barcelona. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 14.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Celta Vigo
65.1% ( -2.48)	20.61% ( 1.25)	14.3% ( 1.24)

Both teams to score 47.7% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.88% (

-2.68)

47.12% (

2.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.65% (

-2.54)

69.36% (

2.55)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.31% (

-1.53)

13.69% (

1.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.09% (

-3.13)

40.92% (

3.14)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.27% (

0.21)

44.74% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.28% (

0.17)

80.72% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 65.08%

Celta Vigo 14.3%

Draw 20.61%

Barcelona	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.66) 2-0 @ 12.1% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.5) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.36) 4-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.5) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.38) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.31) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.24) Other @ 2.64% Total : 65.08%	1-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.59) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.66) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.61%	0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.34% Total : 14.3%