La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

Apr 21, 2022 at 7pm UK

Estadio Ramon de Carranza

Cadiz
2 - 3
Athletic Bilbao

Perez (56'), Sobrino (87')
Lozano (9'), Chust (21'), Cala (63')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Garcia (3'), Muniain (22'), Vesga (33')
Martinez (50'), Vesga (63'), Vivian (69'), Vencedor (90+6')
Vesga (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cadiz

Last Six:

Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Cadiz
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Getafe	38	-8	39
16	Cadiz	38	-16	39
17	Mallorca	38	-27	39

Athletic Bilbao

Last Six:

Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Villarreal	38	26	59
8	Athletic Bilbao	38	7	55
9	Valencia	38	-5	48

We said: Cadiz 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

Cadiz's win over Barcelona would have done so much for their confidence, and they will fancy their chances of causing Athletic problems on Thursday. The Basque outfit do not often lose on their travels, but they have not won too many either, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Cadiz	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
29.72%	28.27%	42.01%

Both teams to score 45.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.73%

60.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.56%

80.44%

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.7%

36.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.91%

73.09%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.68%

28.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.95%

64.05%

Score Analysis

Cadiz 29.71%

Athletic Bilbao 42.01%

Draw 28.27%

Cadiz	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 6.66% 2-0 @ 5.28% 3-1 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.92% Total : 29.71%	1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.27%	0-1 @ 12.97% 1-2 @ 8.29% 0-2 @ 8.18% 1-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 1.77% 1-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.69% Total : 42.01%