La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 37

May 15, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

Vicente Calderon Stadium

Atletico
1 - 1
Sevilla

Gimenez (30')
Hermoso (45'), Kondogbia (79'), Koke (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

En-Nesyri (85')
Montiel (41'), Gudelj (72'), En-Nesyri (86'), Mir (88'), Lopetegui (88'), Acuna (90+5')

Atletico Madrid confirm Luis Suarez departure

Atletico Madrid confirm that Luis Suarez and Hector Herrera will leave the club at the end of the season.

May 16, 18:53

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-2 Atletico
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Barcelona	38	30	73
3	Atletico Madrid	38	22	71
4	Sevilla	38	23	70

Sevilla

Last Six:

Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Atletico Madrid	38	22	71
4	Sevilla	38	23	70
5	Real Betis	38	22	65

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Sevilla

Sevilla only need a point on Sunday to ensure that they claim a top-four spot, and we are expecting the visitors to pick up the result that they require. Lopetegui's side have only lost three times on their travels this season, sharing the points on nine occasions, and we are backing a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 22.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Sevilla
51.47% ( -0.08)	26.08% ( 0.04)	22.44% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 46.03% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.04% (

-0.12)

56.96% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.14% (

-0.1)

77.86% (

0.09)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.78% (

-0.09)

22.22% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.36% (

-0.13)

55.63% (

0.13)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.18% (

-0.03)

40.82% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.61% (

-0.03)

77.39% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 51.47%

Sevilla 22.44%

Draw 26.08%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 13.64% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 51.47%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.08%	0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 1.25% Total : 22.44%