La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 18

Dec 18, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sevilla
2 - 1
Atletico

Rakitic (7'), Ocampos (88')
Rekik (66'), Papu (68'), Montiel (69')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Felipe (33')
Cunha (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Sevilla 1-1 Atletico Madrid

This match has a draw written all over it; Atletico will be desperate to avoid a third straight league defeat, and Simeone should have his side fired up for the contest. Sevilla have been so impressive for much of the season, though, and we cannot back Loptegui's side to lose in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Atletico Madrid
46.68%	25.79%	27.54%

Both teams to score 51.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.91%

52.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.18%

73.82%

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.7%

22.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.23%

55.77%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.37%

33.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.72%

70.28%

Score Analysis

Sevilla 46.67%

Atletico Madrid 27.54%

Draw 25.79%

Sevilla	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 8.44% 3-1 @ 4.6% 3-0 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.19% Total : 46.67%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.79%	0-1 @ 8.17% 1-2 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.45% 1-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.36% Total : 27.54%