Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 15.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.33%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
15.86% | 22.85% | 61.29% |
Both teams to score 44.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.83% | 53.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.26% | 74.74% |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.79% | 46.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.12% | 81.88% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.06% | 16.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.98% | 47.02% |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 6.04% 2-1 @ 4.14% 2-0 @ 2.33% 3-1 @ 1.07% 3-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.33% Total : 15.86% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 0-0 @ 7.83% 2-2 @ 3.68% Other @ 0.61% Total : 22.85% | 0-1 @ 13.89% 0-2 @ 12.33% 1-2 @ 9.53% 0-3 @ 7.3% 1-3 @ 5.64% 0-4 @ 3.24% 1-4 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-5 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.56% Total : 61.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |