Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 12, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
River Plate2 - 0Nacional
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between River Plate and Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Rosario
Monday, April 8 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, April 8 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 72.71%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 10.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 3-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match.
Result | ||
River Plate | Draw | Nacional |
72.71% ( 0.07) | 16.92% ( -0.04) | 10.37% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.82% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.56% ( 0.07) | 40.44% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.18% ( 0.07) | 62.82% ( -0.07) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.27% ( 0.03) | 9.72% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.61% ( 0.08) | 32.39% ( -0.08) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.97% ( -0.02) | 47.02% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.49% ( -0.02) | 82.5% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
River Plate 72.69%
Nacional 10.37%
Draw 16.92%
River Plate | Draw | Nacional |
2-0 @ 12.41% 1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% 5-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 72.69% | 1-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 16.92% | 0-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 10.37% |
Head to Head
Dec 18, 2020 12.30am
Quarter-Finals
Nacional
2-6
River Plate
Dec 11, 2020 12.30am
Quarter-Finals
River Plate
2-0
Nacional
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-05 14:57:17
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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