Coppa Italia | Round of 16

Jan 19, 2023 at 8pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
2 - 1
Monza

Kean (8'), Chiesa (78')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Valoti (24')
Antov (59'), Rovella (62')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Juventus and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Last Game: Napoli 5-1 Juventus
Friday, January 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monza

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Cremonese 2-3 Monza
Saturday, January 14 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

For all Monza's improvement and Juve's stumbles, it remains a tall task for the visitors to reach the quarter-finals given the calibre of their opponents. Factoring in a tally of just two wins from nine away fixtures this term, even a much-altered Juve side should see off the Biancorossi's threat and progress to the last eight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Monza had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Juventus in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Juventus.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Monza
50.96% ( 0)	24.1% ( -0)	24.94% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.61% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.98% (

0.01)

47.02% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.74% (

0.01)

69.26% (

-0.01)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.53% (

0.01)

18.47% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.34% (

0.01)

49.66% (

-0.01)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.98% (

33.03% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.39% (

69.61% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Juventus 50.95%

Monza 24.94%

Draw 24.1%

Juventus	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 3.35% Total : 50.95%	1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.1%	0-1 @ 6.76% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.43% Total : 24.94%