De Graafschap

1 - 0

NAC Breda

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.