EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
0 - 0
Crystal Palace

Anderson (39')

Milivojevic (42'), Hughes (90+2')

Newcastle win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United overcome fellow Premier League side Crystal Palace on penalties to advance to the fourth round of the EFL Cup.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Southampton 1-4 Newcastle
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crystal Palace

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: West Ham 1-2 Crystal Palace
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Crystal Palace
53.73% ( -0.15)	23.53% ( -0)	22.74% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 53.93% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.3% (

0.18)

46.7% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.04% (

0.17)

68.96% (

-0.17)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.69% (

0.01)

17.3% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.34% (

0.02)

47.66% (

-0.02)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.22% (

0.24)

34.78% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.49% (

0.26)

71.51% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 53.72%

Crystal Palace 22.74%

Draw 23.53%

Newcastle United	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.72% 3-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.77% Total : 53.72%	1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.53%	0-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 22.74%