Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 30

Apr 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
1 - 0
Crystal Palace

Almiron (32')
Almiron (33')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gallagher (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Wolverhampton Wanderers	38	-5	51
11	Newcastle United	38	-18	49
12	Crystal Palace	38	4	48

Crystal Palace

Last Six:

Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-0 Man Utd
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Newcastle United	38	-18	49
12	Crystal Palace	38	4	48
13	Brentford	38	-8	46

We said: Newcastle United 2-1 Crystal Palace

After their FA Cup disappointment, Palace will be especially eager to end what has been an encouraging season on a high. However, Newcastle are a different beast at St James' Park, and we are expecting the Magpies to outlast the Eagles with victory by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Crystal Palace
41.94%	27.51%	30.55%

Both teams to score 48.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.69%

57.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.85%

78.15%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.04%

26.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.7%

62.3%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.91%

34.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.22%

70.78%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 41.93%

Crystal Palace 30.55%

Draw 27.51%

Newcastle United	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 12.04% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 7.9% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.93%	1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.51%	0-1 @ 9.89% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.31% Total : 30.55%