Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 37

May 15, 2022 at 2pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 1
Crystal Palace

Watkins (69')
Mings (9')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Schlupp (81')
Gallagher (14'), Edouard (76'), Kouyate (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

Last Six:

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Brentford	38	-8	46
14	Aston Villa	38	-2	45
15	Southampton	38	-24	40

Crystal Palace

Last Six:

Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-0 Man Utd
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Newcastle United	38	-18	49
12	Crystal Palace	38	4	48
13	Brentford	38	-8	46

We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Crystal Palace

Palace will enter this match full of confidence, but Villa had also been on a strong run before the setback against Liverpool. There is not an awful lot between the two teams, demonstrated by the league table, and we can see the pair playing out a low-scoring draw on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Crystal Palace
43.05% ( 0.76)	25.89% ( -0.07)	31.06% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 53.29% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.19% (

0.05)

50.81% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.3% (

0.04)

72.7% (

-0.04)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.54% (

0.39)

23.46% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.53% (

0.57)

57.47% (

-0.57)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.62% (

-0.45)

30.38% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.43% (

-0.53)

66.57% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 43.05%

Crystal Palace 31.06%

Draw 25.89%

Aston Villa	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 43.05%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.14% Total : 31.06%