Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 18

May 19, 2022 at 8pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 1
Burnley

Buendia (48')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Barnes (45' pen.)
Long (55')
Lowton (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

Last Six:

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Brentford	38	-8	46
14	Aston Villa	38	-2	45
15	Southampton	38	-24	40

Burnley

Last Six:

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Leeds United	38	-37	38
18	Burnley	38	-19	35
19	Watford	38	-43	23

We said: Aston Villa 2-1 Burnley

Villa have not beaten Burnley at Villa Park since October 2010, but the home side have shown excellent form under Gerrard, and we are expecting a Villa victory on Saturday afternoon, albeit by a close scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Burnley
49.62% ( 0.02)	25.63% ( -0.01)	24.75% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.71% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.63% (

0.02)

53.37% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.09% (

0.02)

74.91% (

-0.01)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.47% (

0.02)

21.53% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.4% (

0.02)

54.6% (

-0.02)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.35%

36.65% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.56% (

-0)

73.43% (

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 49.61%

Burnley 24.75%

Draw 25.62%

Aston Villa	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 12.11% 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 49.61%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 24.75%