Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 32

Apr 9, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
0 - 4
Spurs

Ings (21'), Young (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Heung-min (3', 66', 71'), Kulusevski (50')
Hojbjerg (29'), Emerson (74'), Kane (90+1')

Antonio Conte provides update on Matt Doherty injury

Tottenham Hotspur manager Antonio Conte hopes that Matt Doherty has avoided a serious injury following his early withdrawal in the 4-0 win over Aston Villa.

Apr 9, 20:45

Aston Villa manager Steven Gerrard on March 19, 2022

Steven Gerrard: 'Aston Villa didn't deserve heavy Tottenham Hotspur defeat'

Aston Villa boss Steven Gerrard says that his side did not deserve to suffer a 4-0 defeat against Tottenham Hotspur on Saturday evening.

Apr 9, 20:15

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

Last Six:

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Brentford	38	-8	46
14	Aston Villa	38	-2	45
15	Southampton	38	-24	40

Tottenham Hotspur

Last Six:

Last Game: Norwich 0-5 Spurs
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Chelsea	38	43	74
4	Tottenham Hotspur	38	29	71
5	Arsenal	38	13	69

We said: Aston Villa 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur

Tottenham are winning a lot of football matches at the moment, and they were excellent going forward in last weekend's 5-1 win over Newcastle. Villa will make it difficult for Conte's side, but we believe that the visitors will have enough quality in the final third to put another huge three points on the board. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 24.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
24.29%	23.27%	52.44%

Both teams to score 56.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56%

44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.62%

66.38%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.06%

31.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.61%

68.39%

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.21%

16.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.26%

46.74%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 24.29%

Tottenham Hotspur 52.44%

Draw 23.27%

Aston Villa	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
2-1 @ 6.23% 1-0 @ 6.12% 2-0 @ 3.49% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.63% Total : 24.29%	1-1 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 5.56% 0-0 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.27%	1-2 @ 9.74% 0-1 @ 9.57% 0-2 @ 8.54% 1-3 @ 5.8% 0-3 @ 5.08% 2-3 @ 3.31% 1-4 @ 2.59% 0-4 @ 2.27% 2-4 @ 1.48% 1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.15% Total : 52.44%