Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 29

Mar 13, 2022 at 2pm UK

London Stadium

West Ham
2 - 1
Aston Villa

Yarmolenko (70'), Fornals (82')
Lanzini (44')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ramsey (90')

West Ham United's Andriy Yarmolenko thankful for support after scoring in 2-1 win vs. Aston Villa

Andriy Yarmolenko thanks his West Ham United teammates, the fans and the British public for their support amid Russia's invasion of his native Ukraine after scoring in Sunday's 2-1 win over Aston Villa.

Mar 13, 17:52

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between West Ham United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

West Ham United

Last Six:

Last Game: Brighton 3-1 West Ham
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Manchester United	38	0	58
7	West Ham United	38	9	56
8	Leicester City	38	3	52

Aston Villa

Last Six:

Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Brentford	38	-8	46
14	Aston Villa	38	-2	45
15	Southampton	38	-24	40

We said: West Ham United 2-2 Aston Villa

Despite West Ham sitting higher in the table, there is an argument that Villa are the marginal favourites ahead of this contest. Nevertheless, West Ham have been playing well without converting their chances, and if everything comes together at the weekend, we can see an entertaining draw being played out in the capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham United	Draw	Aston Villa
40.66%	27.55%	31.79%

Both teams to score 48.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.89%

57.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.01%

77.98%

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.44%

27.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.92%

63.08%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.91%

33.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.31%

69.69%

Score Analysis

West Ham United 40.65%

Aston Villa 31.78%

Draw 27.54%

West Ham United	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 11.75% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 7.57% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.65%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.12% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.54%	0-1 @ 10.08% 1-2 @ 7.19% 0-2 @ 5.58% 1-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.78%