Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 37

May 15, 2022 at 12pm UK

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Spurs
1 - 0
Burnley

Kane (45+8' pen.)
Moura (49'), Lloris (86'), Kulusevski (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Roberts (27'), Pope (45+8')

Antonio Conte insists Tottenham Hotspur penalty was "200%" clear

Tottenham Hotspur manager Antonio Conte claims that the controversial penalty which handed his side a 1-0 win over Burnley was "200%" clear.

May 15, 15:42

Tottenham Hotspur's Dejan Kulusevski reacts on February 5, 2022

Antonio Conte reveals "four players" affected by sickness bug

Antonio Conte reveals that four Tottenham Hotspur players have been struck down by a sickness bug, including Dejan Kulusevski.

May 15, 12:37

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Tottenham Hotspur

Last Six:

Last Game: Norwich 0-5 Spurs
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Chelsea	38	43	74
4	Tottenham Hotspur	38	29	71
5	Arsenal	38	13	69

Burnley

Last Six:

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Leeds United	38	-37	38
18	Burnley	38	-19	35
19	Watford	38	-43	23

We said: Tottenham Hotspur 2-0 Burnley

Conte and his players have less than 72 hours to recover from the North London derby win, and the Italian is loath to alter a winning setup, but we can only envisage one result even with the hosts' fatigue in tow. Burnley could be working without their first-choice central defensive pairing and have experienced defeat after defeat on Spurs turf, so Conte's fired-up side should boost their Champions League hopes with a professional performance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 71.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 11.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Burnley
71.07% ( -1.5)	17.67% ( 0.82)	11.25% ( 0.68)

Both teams to score 48.4% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.62% (

-1.87)

41.38% (

1.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.22% (

-1.92)

63.77% (

1.93)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.62% (

-0.86)

10.37% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.12% (

-1.98)

33.88% (

1.98)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54% (

0.02)

46% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.28% (

0.01)

81.72% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 71.07%

Burnley 11.25%

Draw 17.67%

Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Burnley
2-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.34) 4-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.25) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.1) Other @ 4.16% Total : 71.07%	1-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.81% Total : 17.67%	0-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 11.25%