EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Quarter-Finals

Jan 10, 2023 at 8pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
2 - 0
Leicester

Burn (60'), Joelinton (72')
Longstaff (37'), Burn (38'), Botman (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Perez (62'), Ndidi (67')

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Dan Burn and Joelinton guide Newcastle United to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Leicester City, which secures their passage to the EFL Cup semi-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-1 Newcastle
Saturday, January 7 at 6pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leicester City

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Gillingham 0-1 Leicester
Saturday, January 7 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Leicester City
45.9% ( 0.01)	24.54% ( -0)	29.55% ( -0)

Both teams to score 56.96% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.34% (

0.02)

45.66% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.02% (

0.02)

67.98% (

-0.02)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.01% (

0.02)

19.99% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.83% (

0.02)

52.17% (

-0.02)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.19% (

0.01)

28.81% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.34% (

0.01)

64.66% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 45.91%

Leicester City 29.55%

Draw 24.53%

Newcastle United	Draw	Leicester City
2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 45.91%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.53%	1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.55%