EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Sep 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers
4 - 1
Cheltenham

Gibbons (9'), Evans (27'), Collins (40'), Street (68' og.)
McCormick (48')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Gibbons (50' og.)
Adshead (63'), Willcox (72'), Chapman (84')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bristol Rovers and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Barnsley
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Cheltenham Town

The visitors have been very poor this season, and their lack of attacking strength has been evident up to this point. While the hosts have not been incredible themselves, they have found the net more often than not this season, and we fancy them to edge this one by a single goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Bristol Rovers	Draw	Cheltenham Town
41.04% ( 0.01)	24.92% ( 0)	34.04% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.61% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.34% (

-0.01)

45.66% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.01% (

-0.01)

67.99% (

0.01)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.8% (

22.2% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.39% (

0.01)

55.61% (

-0)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.05% (

-0.01)

25.95% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.05% (

-0.01)

60.95% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Bristol Rovers 41.04%

Cheltenham Town 34.04%

Draw 24.91%

Bristol Rovers	Draw	Cheltenham Town
2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.04%	1-1 @ 11.69% 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.91%	1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.77% 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.46% Total : 34.04%